Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Emilia Development (O.F.G) Ltd. (EMDV.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.46 - $277.67$260.22
Multi-Stage$38.03 - $41.60$39.79
Blended Fair Value$150.00
Current Price$26.49
Upside466.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.32%0.00%0.570.650.280.370.280.330.520.910.000.25
YoY Growth---13.11%131.65%-23.30%33.77%-17.20%-35.86%-43.14%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.97%2.68%1.35%1.84%1.12%3.01%2.27%3.13%0.00%1.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.824.892.93
Cash Retained (M)21.3921.3921.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.82-4.89-2.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.5716.5018.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.9927.9927.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.590.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.630.630.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.590.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.221.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$92.46$260.22$277.67
Upside / Downside249.05%882.33%948.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.0941.6344.3347.2150.2853.5555.16
Payout Ratio45.28%54.23%63.17%72.11%81.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.7022.5728.0134.0540.7648.2051.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20.9421.1421.34
Year 2 PV (M)24.1124.5625.03
Year 3 PV (M)27.1927.9728.76
Year 4 PV (M)30.2031.3632.55
Year 5 PV (M)33.1334.7336.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)929.12973.991,020.59
Equity Value (M)1,064.681,113.751,164.66
Shares Outstanding (M)27.9927.9927.99
Fair Value$38.03$39.79$41.60
Upside / Downside43.57%50.19%57.05%

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