Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Electra Limited (ELTR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.25 - $474.25$184.30
Multi-Stage$51.75 - $56.55$54.10
Blended Fair Value$119.20
Current Price$96.48
Upside23.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.42%1.72%1.081.111.071.040.790.911.341.430.880.83
YoY Growth---3.10%4.46%2.17%32.25%-13.50%-31.81%-6.85%62.79%6.82%-9.27%
Dividend Yield--1.25%1.41%1.40%0.88%0.91%1.22%2.87%3.22%2.44%3.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)183.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)90.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.7122.9513.77
Cash Retained (M)93.5693.5693.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.71-22.95-13.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)56.8470.6179.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.9876.9876.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.740.921.04
LTM Dividend per Share1.171.171.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.740.921.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.912.092.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.71%7.71%7.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$91.25$184.30$474.25
Upside / Downside-5.42%91.03%391.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)183.57195.50208.20221.74236.15251.50259.04
Payout Ratio49.03%57.23%65.42%73.61%81.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)90.01111.88136.21163.23193.19226.35239.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.71%7.71%7.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)102.90103.87104.85
Year 2 PV (M)115.22117.42119.63
Year 3 PV (M)127.00130.64134.36
Year 4 PV (M)138.24143.56149.02
Year 5 PV (M)148.97156.17163.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,351.283,513.153,681.21
Equity Value (M)3,983.604,164.804,352.70
Shares Outstanding (M)76.9876.9876.98
Fair Value$51.75$54.10$56.55
Upside / Downside-46.36%-43.92%-41.39%

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