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Doha Bank Q.P.S.C. (DHBK.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.04 - $2.93$2.47
Multi-Stage$4.75 - $5.23$4.99
Blended Fair Value$3.73
Current Price$2.55
Upside46.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.59%-15.70%0.070.070.070.070.070.100.300.250.250.33
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%14.55%-34.53%-66.67%20.00%0.00%-25.00%-19.43%
Dividend Yield--3.91%5.10%4.60%2.91%2.88%5.56%13.76%9.26%7.96%9.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)906.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)500.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)406.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)181.27113.2967.98
Cash Retained (M)406.29406.29406.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-181.27-113.29-67.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)225.02293.00338.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,100.473,100.473,100.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate-3.95%-2.95%-1.95%
Fair Value$2.04$2.47$2.93
Upside / Downside-20.16%-2.98%15.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)906.34879.65853.74828.60804.19780.51803.92
Payout Ratio55.17%62.14%69.10%76.07%83.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)500.05546.59589.96630.30667.76702.46743.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate-3.95%-2.95%-1.95%
Year 1 PV (M)505.15510.41515.67
Year 2 PV (M)503.90514.44525.10
Year 3 PV (M)497.54513.24529.27
Year 4 PV (M)487.14507.74528.99
Year 5 PV (M)473.60498.77525.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,262.1012,913.8213,592.95
Equity Value (M)14,729.4315,458.4216,216.98
Shares Outstanding (M)3,100.473,100.473,100.47
Fair Value$4.75$4.99$5.23
Upside / Downside86.30%95.52%105.12%

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