Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CVS Group plc (CVSG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.48 - $37.18$20.86
Multi-Stage$9.16 - $10.01$9.58
Blended Fair Value$15.22
Current Price$12.50
Upside21.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.89%14.28%0.080.080.070.060.000.050.050.040.030.03
YoY Growth--5.56%8.00%8.70%0.00%-100.00%11.43%20.69%38.10%16.67%20.00%
Dividend Yield--0.64%0.71%0.35%0.39%0.00%0.53%0.66%0.36%0.23%0.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.005.003.00
Cash Retained (M)28.9028.9028.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.00-5.00-3.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.9023.9025.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.7271.7271.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.48$20.86$37.18
Upside / Downside7.85%66.88%197.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.0042.6045.3748.3251.4654.8056.45
Payout Ratio27.75%40.20%52.65%65.10%77.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.1017.1323.8931.4639.9149.3252.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15.5615.7115.86
Year 2 PV (M)19.7320.1120.49
Year 3 PV (M)23.6224.2924.99
Year 4 PV (M)27.2328.2829.36
Year 5 PV (M)30.5932.0733.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)540.51566.61593.72
Equity Value (M)657.24687.08718.01
Shares Outstanding (M)71.7271.7271.72
Fair Value$9.16$9.58$10.01
Upside / Downside-26.69%-23.36%-19.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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