Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Carasso Motors Ltd. (CRSM.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$552.01 - $783.46$734.22
Multi-Stage$129.48 - $141.86$135.55
Blended Fair Value$434.89
Current Price$40.54
Upside972.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.68%16.67%2.452.382.801.690.451.080.683.661.640.90
YoY Growth--2.64%-14.80%65.64%279.07%-58.89%59.09%-81.39%122.81%83.25%71.23%
Dividend Yield--8.54%13.60%16.50%7.37%2.76%12.13%4.09%14.89%4.14%2.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)370.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)300.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)74.0746.3027.78
Cash Retained (M)300.37300.37300.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-74.07-46.30-27.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)226.30254.07272.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)94.0194.0194.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.412.702.90
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.412.702.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.153.453.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.10%6.10%6.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$552.01$734.22$783.46
Upside / Downside1,261.63%1,711.10%1,832.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)370.37394.44420.08447.39476.47507.44522.66
Payout Ratio18.90%33.12%47.34%61.56%75.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.00130.64198.87275.41361.07456.69483.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.10%6.10%6.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)121.97123.13124.28
Year 2 PV (M)173.35176.65179.98
Year 3 PV (M)224.14230.57237.13
Year 4 PV (M)274.35284.90295.75
Year 5 PV (M)323.98339.63355.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,055.1011,589.0612,143.46
Equity Value (M)12,172.8812,743.9313,336.48
Shares Outstanding (M)94.0194.0194.01
Fair Value$129.48$135.55$141.86
Upside / Downside219.38%234.37%249.91%

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