Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Columbus A/S (COLUM.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.60 - $3.98$3.25
Multi-Stage$4.85 - $5.33$5.09
Blended Fair Value$4.17
Current Price$10.25
Upside-59.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.27%0.71%0.120.120.126.000.000.120.130.120.120.13
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-97.92%0.00%-100.00%-3.39%10.14%-5.72%-3.13%8.94%
Dividend Yield--1.02%1.55%1.94%63.78%0.00%2.06%1.05%0.81%0.84%1.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.394.622.77
Cash Retained (M)20.7820.7820.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.39-4.62-2.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.3916.1618.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)129.38129.38129.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.120.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.120.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Fair Value$2.60$3.25$3.98
Upside / Downside-74.65%-68.34%-61.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.9436.8336.7236.6136.5136.4037.49
Payout Ratio43.75%53.00%62.25%71.50%80.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.1619.5222.8626.1829.4832.7634.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Year 1 PV (M)18.0018.1818.36
Year 2 PV (M)19.4319.8220.22
Year 3 PV (M)20.5121.1421.78
Year 4 PV (M)21.2922.1723.07
Year 5 PV (M)21.8222.9424.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)526.95554.19582.54
Equity Value (M)627.99658.44690.10
Shares Outstanding (M)129.38129.38129.38
Fair Value$4.85$5.09$5.33
Upside / Downside-52.65%-50.35%-47.96%

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