Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cham Swiss Properties AG (CHAM.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.81 - $57.78$49.19
Multi-Stage$58.91 - $64.80$61.79
Blended Fair Value$55.49
Current Price$22.60
Upside145.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)122.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)122.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.5515.349.21
Cash Retained (M)122.44122.44122.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.55-15.34-9.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)97.89107.10113.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.6519.6519.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.985.455.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.985.455.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.005.475.78
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$40.81$49.19$57.78
Upside / Downside80.58%117.67%155.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)122.75121.52120.31119.11117.92116.74120.24
Payout Ratio0.25%18.20%36.15%54.10%72.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.3122.1243.4964.4484.96105.06111.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)19.9020.1120.31
Year 2 PV (M)35.2235.9436.67
Year 3 PV (M)46.9648.4149.89
Year 4 PV (M)55.7258.0360.41
Year 5 PV (M)62.0165.2468.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)937.73986.561,037.40
Equity Value (M)1,157.541,214.281,273.28
Shares Outstanding (M)19.6519.6519.65
Fair Value$58.91$61.79$64.80
Upside / Downside160.65%173.42%186.71%

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