Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Bank Maybank Indonesia Tbk (BNII.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$172.41 - $259.14$213.44
Multi-Stage$357.18 - $393.31$374.89
Blended Fair Value$294.17
Current Price$202.00
Upside45.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.26%0.00%10.297.726.473.324.836.614.735.110.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%19.24%94.85%-31.27%-26.87%39.66%-7.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.42%3.04%2.81%1.09%1.34%4.79%1.75%1.88%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,563,233.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)446,335.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,116,898.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)312,646.60195,404.13117,242.48
Cash Retained (M)1,116,898.001,116,898.001,116,898.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-312,646.60-195,404.13-117,242.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)804,251.40921,493.88999,655.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76,215.2076,215.2076,215.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.5512.0913.12
LTM Dividend per Share5.865.865.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.5512.0913.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.4117.9518.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Fair Value$172.41$213.44$259.14
Upside / Downside-14.65%5.67%28.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,563,233.001,543,423.831,523,865.681,504,555.371,485,489.761,466,665.751,510,665.72
Payout Ratio28.55%40.84%53.13%65.42%77.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)446,335.00630,359.55809,648.54984,292.441,154,380.171,319,999.181,397,365.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Year 1 PV (M)582,966.24588,931.14594,896.03
Year 2 PV (M)692,479.10706,722.46721,110.82
Year 3 PV (M)778,555.09802,698.93827,336.83
Year 4 PV (M)844,440.64879,535.90915,713.90
Year 5 PV (M)892,994.93939,624.97988,182.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,431,211.0924,654,732.5625,928,839.95
Equity Value (M)27,222,647.0828,572,245.9629,976,080.44
Shares Outstanding (M)76,215.2076,215.2076,215.20
Fair Value$357.18$374.89$393.31
Upside / Downside76.82%85.59%94.71%

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