Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A. (BMEB3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$298.55 - $1,080.68$944.37
Multi-Stage$135.67 - $148.50$141.97
Blended Fair Value$543.17
Current Price$54.11
Upside903.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS61.28%0.00%1.760.770.540.620.340.160.130.080.280.28
YoY Growth--127.77%42.55%-12.82%84.23%109.22%19.93%78.74%-73.30%1.41%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.96%3.29%6.09%7.00%4.81%3.89%4.85%4.13%20.86%24.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)567.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)130.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)436.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.5570.9742.58
Cash Retained (M)436.99436.99436.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.55-70.97-42.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)323.44366.02394.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.48104.48104.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.103.503.77
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.103.503.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.354.755.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$298.55$944.37$1,080.68
Upside / Downside451.74%1,645.28%1,897.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)567.76604.66643.97685.83730.40777.88801.22
Payout Ratio23.03%36.43%49.82%63.21%76.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)130.77220.26320.82433.53559.54700.09741.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)203.85205.78207.71
Year 2 PV (M)274.80280.03285.31
Year 3 PV (M)343.67353.53363.59
Year 4 PV (M)410.50426.29442.53
Year 5 PV (M)475.35498.31522.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,467.4813,069.6613,694.90
Equity Value (M)14,175.6514,833.6115,516.19
Shares Outstanding (M)104.48104.48104.48
Fair Value$135.67$141.97$148.50
Upside / Downside150.74%162.38%174.45%

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