Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Blue Square Real Estate Ltd (BLSR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,147.81 - $14,040.06$13,157.60
Multi-Stage$2,187.97 - $2,394.57$2,289.38
Blended Fair Value$7,723.49
Current Price$361.80
Upside2,034.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.51%22.48%31.158.206.5616.394.927.625.338.942.464.92
YoY Growth--280.00%25.00%-60.00%233.33%-35.48%43.08%-40.37%263.33%-50.00%20.00%
Dividend Yield--10.54%3.27%3.36%5.99%2.12%5.40%3.73%6.80%1.45%4.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)861.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)390.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)471.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)172.24107.6564.59
Cash Retained (M)471.22471.22471.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-172.24-107.65-64.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)298.97363.57406.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.2012.2012.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share24.5129.8033.33
LTM Dividend per Share31.9731.9731.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share24.5129.8033.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.4861.7765.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,147.81$13,157.60$14,040.06
Upside / Downside1,875.63%3,536.70%3,780.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)861.22917.20976.811,040.311,107.931,179.941,215.34
Payout Ratio45.28%54.23%63.17%72.11%81.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)390.00497.38617.06750.21898.051,061.951,124.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)463.36467.75472.14
Year 2 PV (M)535.54545.74556.04
Year 3 PV (M)606.57623.98641.72
Year 4 PV (M)676.44702.46729.21
Year 5 PV (M)745.19781.18818.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,664.0024,806.9825,993.70
Equity Value (M)26,691.1027,928.0929,211.37
Shares Outstanding (M)12.2012.2012.20
Fair Value$2,187.97$2,289.38$2,394.57
Upside / Downside504.75%532.77%561.85%

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