Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Billington Holdings Plc (BILN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.57 - $60.51$39.62
Multi-Stage$20.28 - $22.13$21.18
Blended Fair Value$30.40
Current Price$5.00
Upside508.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.76%0.00%0.320.140.030.040.000.120.110.090.060.03
YoY Growth--120.47%423.42%-29.51%0.00%-100.00%13.00%14.94%63.28%112.68%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.36%3.17%1.00%1.66%0.00%3.33%3.98%3.21%2.29%0.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.722.321.39
Cash Retained (M)12.5112.5112.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.72-2.32-1.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.7910.1811.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.1813.1813.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.57$39.62$60.51
Upside / Downside451.44%692.33%1,110.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.6019.8121.0922.4623.9225.4826.24
Payout Ratio32.74%44.19%55.65%67.10%78.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.098.7511.7415.0718.7922.9324.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7.907.978.05
Year 2 PV (M)9.559.739.92
Year 3 PV (M)11.0611.3811.70
Year 4 PV (M)12.4412.9213.41
Year 5 PV (M)13.7014.3615.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)212.63222.90233.57
Equity Value (M)267.28279.26291.69
Shares Outstanding (M)13.1813.1813.18
Fair Value$20.28$21.18$22.13
Upside / Downside305.50%323.69%342.54%

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