Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (BAMNB.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.89 - $24.00$18.24
Multi-Stage$25.29 - $27.81$26.53
Blended Fair Value$22.38
Current Price$7.56
Upside196.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.05%13.39%0.100.080.000.000.000.070.040.030.010.00
YoY Growth--18.65%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-99.49%70.23%53.08%277.45%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.27%3.32%0.00%0.00%0.02%2.64%1.66%0.69%0.16%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)298.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)78.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)219.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.7137.3222.39
Cash Retained (M)219.60219.60219.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.71-37.32-22.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)159.89182.28197.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)273.54273.54273.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.670.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.670.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.870.951.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.13%1.13%2.13%
Fair Value$13.89$18.24$24.00
Upside / Downside83.69%141.24%217.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)298.54301.90305.29308.73312.20315.72325.19
Payout Ratio26.44%39.15%51.87%64.58%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)78.94118.20158.34199.37241.30284.14300.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.13%1.13%2.13%
Year 1 PV (M)109.98111.07112.17
Year 2 PV (M)137.06139.81142.59
Year 3 PV (M)160.56165.42170.37
Year 4 PV (M)180.80188.13195.68
Year 5 PV (M)198.08208.17218.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,130.906,443.246,768.18
Equity Value (M)6,917.377,255.847,607.67
Shares Outstanding (M)273.54273.54273.54
Fair Value$25.29$26.53$27.81
Upside / Downside234.50%250.87%267.88%

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