Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bukit Sembawang Estates Limited (B61.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.76 - $16.14$10.95
Multi-Stage$11.85 - $13.01$12.42
Blended Fair Value$11.68
Current Price$3.60
Upside224.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-6.17%0.00%0.160.040.160.330.110.220.180.330.330.33
YoY Growth--300.01%-75.00%-51.52%200.00%-50.00%22.22%-45.45%0.00%0.00%106.25%
Dividend Yield--4.44%1.16%3.96%6.59%2.28%5.76%3.08%5.71%5.02%7.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)114.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.8614.298.57
Cash Retained (M)72.8772.8772.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.86-14.29-8.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.0158.5864.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)258.93258.93258.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate1.57%2.57%3.57%
Fair Value$7.76$10.95$16.14
Upside / Downside115.68%204.04%348.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)114.29117.23120.25123.35126.53129.78133.68
Payout Ratio36.24%47.00%57.75%68.50%79.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.4355.1069.4484.49100.27116.81123.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate1.57%2.57%3.57%
Year 1 PV (M)51.3851.8852.39
Year 2 PV (M)60.3861.5862.78
Year 3 PV (M)68.5170.5572.64
Year 4 PV (M)75.8178.8481.96
Year 5 PV (M)82.3586.4990.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,729.262,866.283,008.75
Equity Value (M)3,067.703,215.623,369.31
Shares Outstanding (M)258.93258.93258.93
Fair Value$11.85$12.42$13.01
Upside / Downside229.10%244.97%261.46%

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