Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Azrieli Group Ltd (AZRG.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$548.38 - $2,695.45$1,163.02
Multi-Stage$302.06 - $330.10$315.82
Blended Fair Value$739.42
Current Price$328.70
Upside124.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.30%13.58%8.235.765.354.942.474.614.283.953.292.63
YoY Growth--42.86%7.69%8.33%100.00%-46.43%7.69%8.33%20.00%25.00%14.29%
Dividend Yield--3.30%2.17%2.60%1.75%1.20%2.25%2.02%2.37%1.71%1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,646.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)800.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)846.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)329.20205.75123.45
Cash Retained (M)846.00846.00846.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-329.20-205.75-123.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)516.80640.25722.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)121.44121.44121.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.265.275.95
LTM Dividend per Share6.596.596.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.265.275.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8411.8612.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$548.38$1,163.02$2,695.45
Upside / Downside66.83%253.82%720.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,646.001,752.991,866.931,988.292,117.522,255.162,322.82
Payout Ratio48.60%56.88%65.16%73.44%81.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)800.00997.141,216.521,460.221,730.452,029.652,148.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)918.13926.83935.53
Year 2 PV (M)1,031.371,051.021,070.85
Year 3 PV (M)1,139.881,172.601,205.94
Year 4 PV (M)1,243.791,291.631,340.83
Year 5 PV (M)1,343.251,408.131,475.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,007.0732,504.7234,059.69
Equity Value (M)36,683.4938,354.9240,088.33
Shares Outstanding (M)121.44121.44121.44
Fair Value$302.06$315.82$330.10
Upside / Downside-8.10%-3.92%0.42%

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