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Allos S.A. (ALOS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$134.37 - $292.82$274.42
Multi-Stage$45.41 - $49.64$47.48
Blended Fair Value$160.95
Current Price$25.83
Upside523.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.85%36.16%1.490.570.200.120.000.170.050.070.070.07
YoY Growth--160.10%187.21%69.97%0.00%-100.00%262.04%-32.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.81%2.43%1.14%0.51%0.00%0.63%0.16%0.28%0.31%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)750.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)609.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)141.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)150.1093.8156.29
Cash Retained (M)141.51141.51141.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-150.10-93.81-56.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.6047.6985.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)509.72509.72509.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.090.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.090.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$134.37$274.42$292.82
Upside / Downside420.23%962.39%1,033.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)750.51799.29851.24906.57965.501,028.261,059.10
Payout Ratio81.15%82.92%84.69%86.46%88.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)609.00662.74720.89783.81851.85925.43979.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)616.88622.73628.58
Year 2 PV (M)624.58636.48648.49
Year 3 PV (M)632.10650.25668.74
Year 4 PV (M)639.45664.04689.33
Year 5 PV (M)646.61677.84710.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,986.8920,952.2621,954.59
Equity Value (M)23,146.5224,203.6125,299.99
Shares Outstanding (M)509.72509.72509.72
Fair Value$45.41$47.48$49.64
Upside / Downside75.80%83.83%92.16%

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