Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Leopalace21 Corporation (8848.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$253.56 - $389.51$316.92
Multi-Stage$549.57 - $605.36$576.92
Blended Fair Value$446.92
Current Price$714.00
Upside-37.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%7.560.000.000.000.000.007.0613.2512.270.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-46.70%7.95%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.50%2.18%1.76%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,943.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,238.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,705.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,388.601,492.88895.73
Cash Retained (M)8,705.008,705.008,705.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,388.60-1,492.88-895.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,316.407,212.137,809.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)428.30428.30428.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.7516.8418.23
LTM Dividend per Share7.567.567.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.7516.8418.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.3124.4025.79
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$253.56$316.92$389.51
Upside / Downside-64.49%-55.61%-45.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,943.0011,823.5711,705.3311,588.2811,472.4011,357.6711,698.40
Payout Ratio27.11%39.69%52.27%64.84%77.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,238.004,692.746,118.067,514.408,882.2110,221.9110,821.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,356.834,401.294,445.75
Year 2 PV (M)5,273.555,381.725,490.99
Year 3 PV (M)6,013.516,199.486,389.25
Year 4 PV (M)6,599.326,872.837,154.76
Year 5 PV (M)7,051.067,418.237,800.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)206,090.06216,821.65227,995.70
Equity Value (M)235,384.33247,095.20259,276.98
Shares Outstanding (M)428.30428.30428.30
Fair Value$549.57$576.92$605.36
Upside / Downside-23.03%-19.20%-15.22%

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