Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

M.J. International Co., Ltd. (8466.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.67 - $12.61$10.58
Multi-Stage$16.93 - $18.64$17.77
Blended Fair Value$14.17
Current Price$26.70
Upside-46.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-36.98%-25.17%0.271.330.622.683.672.685.376.264.934.73
YoY Growth---80.00%114.28%-76.80%-26.83%36.67%-50.00%-14.29%27.02%4.25%-2.41%
Dividend Yield--0.74%2.94%1.50%5.42%5.83%4.47%8.19%7.64%4.10%3.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.4410.906.54
Cash Retained (M)67.5167.5167.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.44-10.90-6.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.0756.6160.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.8373.8373.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.941.031.09
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate-2.89%-1.89%-0.89%
Fair Value$8.67$10.58$12.61
Upside / Downside-67.53%-60.38%-52.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.2185.5783.9582.3680.8079.2881.66
Payout Ratio22.59%36.07%49.56%63.04%76.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.7030.8741.6051.9261.8371.3575.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate-2.89%-1.89%-0.89%
Year 1 PV (M)28.3728.6628.95
Year 2 PV (M)35.1435.8736.60
Year 3 PV (M)40.3141.5742.85
Year 4 PV (M)44.1245.9647.87
Year 5 PV (M)46.7949.2551.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,054.971,110.421,168.17
Equity Value (M)1,249.701,311.731,376.26
Shares Outstanding (M)73.8373.8373.83
Fair Value$16.93$17.77$18.64
Upside / Downside-36.61%-33.46%-30.19%

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