Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Intumit Inc. (7547.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$126.95 - $653.51$258.47
Multi-Stage$71.12 - $77.74$74.37
Blended Fair Value$166.42
Current Price$90.00
Upside84.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS28.49%0.00%0.810.530.530.530.460.230.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--51.16%0.00%0.00%15.85%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.14%1.30%1.77%1.34%0.84%0.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)56.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.9111.827.09
Cash Retained (M)56.0256.0256.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.91-11.82-7.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.1144.2048.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.7828.7828.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.291.541.70
LTM Dividend per Share1.341.341.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.291.541.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.632.883.04
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$126.95$258.47$653.51
Upside / Downside41.05%187.19%626.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94.57100.72107.26114.24121.66129.57133.46
Payout Ratio40.76%50.61%60.46%70.30%80.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.5550.9764.8580.3197.52116.61123.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)46.8947.3347.78
Year 2 PV (M)54.8855.9256.98
Year 3 PV (M)62.5264.3266.15
Year 4 PV (M)69.8372.5275.28
Year 5 PV (M)76.8280.5384.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,735.991,819.841,906.89
Equity Value (M)2,046.932,140.462,237.46
Shares Outstanding (M)28.7828.7828.78
Fair Value$71.12$74.37$77.74
Upside / Downside-20.97%-17.36%-13.62%

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