Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Yinson Holdings Berhad (7293.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.72 - $38.44$12.63
Multi-Stage$3.87 - $4.24$4.05
Blended Fair Value$8.34
Current Price$2.34
Upside256.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.11%11.40%0.010.030.030.020.020.020.040.020.060.01
YoY Growth---56.32%0.00%35.94%0.00%-1.17%-40.30%66.19%-63.91%1,003.39%26.97%
Dividend Yield--0.70%1.22%1.16%1.03%0.97%0.99%1.78%1.31%4.23%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)562.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)86.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)476.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.4070.2542.15
Cash Retained (M)476.00476.00476.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.40-70.25-42.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)363.60405.75433.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,907.302,907.302,907.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.72$12.63$38.44
Upside / Downside187.31%439.57%1,542.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)562.00598.53637.43678.87722.99769.99793.09
Payout Ratio15.30%30.24%45.18%60.12%75.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)86.00181.01288.00408.14542.68692.99733.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)166.14167.71169.29
Year 2 PV (M)242.63247.25251.92
Year 3 PV (M)315.60324.66333.89
Year 4 PV (M)385.16399.97415.21
Year 5 PV (M)451.44473.24495.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,700.0810,168.6010,655.05
Equity Value (M)11,261.0411,781.4312,321.23
Shares Outstanding (M)2,907.302,907.302,907.30
Fair Value$3.87$4.05$4.24
Upside / Downside65.53%73.18%81.11%

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