Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wave Cyber (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (688718.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.38 - $1.95$1.66
Multi-Stage$2.00 - $2.20$2.10
Blended Fair Value$1.88
Current Price$15.00
Upside-87.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS74.30%0.00%0.120.000.000.010.270.010.010.010.000.00
YoY Growth--11,576.63%2.10%-86.84%-97.22%3,591.76%24.48%-43.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.06%0.01%0.01%0.04%0.67%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.164.482.69
Cash Retained (M)34.5934.5934.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.16-4.48-2.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.4330.1131.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)170.66170.66170.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.38$1.66$1.95
Upside / Downside-90.83%-88.94%-87.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.8035.4435.0934.7434.3934.0535.07
Payout Ratio3.39%20.71%38.03%55.36%72.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.217.3413.3519.2325.0030.6432.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6.616.686.74
Year 2 PV (M)10.8211.0411.26
Year 3 PV (M)14.0314.4614.91
Year 4 PV (M)16.4217.1017.80
Year 5 PV (M)18.1219.0620.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)275.68290.03304.98
Equity Value (M)341.67358.37375.74
Shares Outstanding (M)170.66170.66170.66
Fair Value$2.00$2.10$2.20
Upside / Downside-86.65%-86.00%-85.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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