Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Haiyan Power System Resources Environmental Technology Co.,Ltd. (688565.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.02 - $3.12$2.53
Multi-Stage$2.79 - $3.06$2.92
Blended Fair Value$2.73
Current Price$10.29
Upside-73.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-18.16%9.00%0.030.040.160.010.050.070.010.010.000.01
YoY Growth---30.65%-75.20%974.12%-71.87%-29.33%1,032.17%-1.35%66.11%-68.91%11.75%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.66%1.91%0.14%0.29%0.40%0.04%0.04%0.02%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.494.062.43
Cash Retained (M)29.8529.8529.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.49-4.06-2.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.3625.7927.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.85150.85150.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$2.02$2.53$3.12
Upside / Downside-80.34%-75.40%-69.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.4632.8933.3233.7634.2134.6635.70
Payout Ratio8.03%24.42%40.82%57.21%73.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.618.0313.6019.3125.1831.1933.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)7.317.387.45
Year 2 PV (M)11.2511.4811.70
Year 3 PV (M)14.5314.9715.42
Year 4 PV (M)17.2317.9318.65
Year 5 PV (M)19.4220.4121.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)351.05368.90387.47
Equity Value (M)420.79441.06462.13
Shares Outstanding (M)150.85150.85150.85
Fair Value$2.79$2.92$3.06
Upside / Downside-72.89%-71.59%-70.23%

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