Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Foster Electric Company, Limited (6794.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,716.25 - $5,016.47$3,662.35
Multi-Stage$4,549.34 - $4,998.15$4,769.44
Blended Fair Value$4,215.90
Current Price$2,338.00
Upside80.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.86%0.50%35.1120.029.9915.0025.5230.5051.6851.9547.9263.45
YoY Growth--75.39%100.45%-33.43%-41.23%-16.30%-40.99%-0.52%8.41%-24.49%89.95%
Dividend Yield--2.23%1.17%1.07%2.05%2.62%2.90%3.22%3.26%2.47%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,159.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,568.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,591.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)831.80519.88311.93
Cash Retained (M)2,591.002,591.002,591.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-831.80-519.88-311.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,759.202,071.132,279.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.3322.3322.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share78.7892.75102.06
LTM Dividend per Share70.2270.2270.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share78.7892.75102.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend148.99162.96172.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$2,716.25$3,662.35$5,016.47
Upside / Downside16.18%56.64%114.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,159.004,236.234,314.904,395.034,476.644,559.774,696.56
Payout Ratio37.70%48.16%58.62%69.08%79.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,568.002,040.222,529.433,036.113,560.734,103.794,344.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)1,898.861,917.691,936.52
Year 2 PV (M)2,191.072,234.742,278.83
Year 3 PV (M)2,447.762,521.302,596.29
Year 4 PV (M)2,671.832,779.382,890.15
Year 5 PV (M)2,865.973,010.903,161.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)89,516.5294,043.1998,751.16
Equity Value (M)101,592.02106,507.20111,614.58
Shares Outstanding (M)22.3322.3322.33
Fair Value$4,549.34$4,769.44$4,998.15
Upside / Downside94.58%104.00%113.78%

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