Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Visco Vision Inc. (6782.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$582.04 - $2,209.50$1,694.34
Multi-Stage$271.71 - $297.40$284.32
Blended Fair Value$989.33
Current Price$183.00
Upside440.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS69.70%0.00%2.395.483.460.952.420.170.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---56.36%58.29%263.64%-60.71%1,326.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.48%2.40%1.29%0.46%1.99%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)702.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)151.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)551.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)140.5687.8552.71
Cash Retained (M)551.58551.58551.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-140.56-87.85-52.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)411.02463.73498.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.2663.2663.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.507.337.89
LTM Dividend per Share2.392.392.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.507.337.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.899.7210.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$582.04$1,694.34$2,209.50
Upside / Downside218.05%825.87%1,107.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)702.78748.46797.11848.92904.10962.87991.75
Payout Ratio21.51%35.21%48.91%62.61%76.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)151.20263.54389.86531.47689.85866.58917.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)243.74246.05248.36
Year 2 PV (M)333.46339.81346.22
Year 3 PV (M)420.42432.49444.79
Year 4 PV (M)504.70524.11544.07
Year 5 PV (M)586.34614.66644.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,098.5915,827.8616,585.03
Equity Value (M)17,187.2517,984.9818,812.54
Shares Outstanding (M)63.2663.2663.26
Fair Value$271.71$284.32$297.40
Upside / Downside48.47%55.37%62.51%

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