Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NEC Corporation (6701.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,196.00 - $20,653.62$8,850.90
Multi-Stage$3,573.77 - $3,912.42$3,739.98
Blended Fair Value$6,295.44
Current Price$4,739.00
Upside32.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.79%12.85%26.0223.0021.4020.4515.9813.6411.6911.6911.707.78
YoY Growth--13.14%7.48%4.63%28.00%17.16%16.62%0.00%-0.04%50.39%0.10%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.87%1.54%1.94%1.40%1.32%1.36%1.92%1.96%1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)234,553.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37,356.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)197,197.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46,910.6029,319.1317,591.48
Cash Retained (M)197,197.00197,197.00197,197.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-46,910.60-29,319.13-17,591.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)150,286.40167,877.88179,605.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,332.711,332.711,332.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share112.77125.97134.77
LTM Dividend per Share28.0328.0328.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share112.77125.97134.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend140.80154.00162.80
WACC / Discount Rate7.75%7.75%7.75%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Fair Value$5,196.00$8,850.90$20,653.62
Upside / Downside9.64%86.77%335.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)234,553.00248,404.67263,074.35278,610.36295,063.86312,489.03321,863.70
Payout Ratio15.93%30.74%45.56%60.37%75.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37,356.0076,362.50119,845.83168,198.71221,844.63281,240.13297,723.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.75%7.75%7.75%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)70,202.0570,871.2571,540.44
Year 2 PV (M)101,288.99103,229.25105,187.91
Year 3 PV (M)130,686.77134,459.78138,304.71
Year 4 PV (M)158,462.88164,591.94170,897.10
Year 5 PV (M)184,682.42193,654.16202,971.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,117,480.214,317,504.454,525,227.87
Equity Value (M)4,762,803.324,984,310.815,214,129.26
Shares Outstanding (M)1,332.711,332.711,332.71
Fair Value$3,573.77$3,739.98$3,912.42
Upside / Downside-24.59%-21.08%-17.44%

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