Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sun Max Tech Limited (6591.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.18 - $168.09$118.65
Multi-Stage$81.80 - $89.66$85.66
Blended Fair Value$102.15
Current Price$81.80
Upside24.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.34%0.00%2.643.523.312.261.051.001.220.710.000.00
YoY Growth---25.09%6.54%46.64%113.84%5.10%-17.82%72.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.46%6.10%6.56%3.82%1.62%3.10%3.00%0.87%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)203.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.7925.5015.30
Cash Retained (M)203.29203.29203.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.79-25.50-15.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)162.49177.79187.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.8238.8238.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.194.584.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.194.584.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.204.604.86
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Fair Value$86.18$118.65$168.09
Upside / Downside5.35%45.04%105.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.97213.35223.16233.41244.14255.36263.03
Payout Ratio0.34%18.27%36.20%54.13%72.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.6938.9880.79126.36175.95229.83243.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Year 1 PV (M)35.5335.8736.22
Year 2 PV (M)67.1368.4469.75
Year 3 PV (M)95.7298.52101.37
Year 4 PV (M)121.50126.26131.16
Year 5 PV (M)144.68151.79159.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,710.792,844.172,982.75
Equity Value (M)3,175.353,325.053,480.44
Shares Outstanding (M)38.8238.8238.82
Fair Value$81.80$85.66$89.66
Upside / Downside0.00%4.72%9.61%

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