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Brother Industries, Ltd. (6448.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,503.71 - $42,363.00$27,903.22
Multi-Stage$6,467.84 - $7,083.46$6,769.95
Blended Fair Value$17,336.58
Current Price$2,478.50
Upside599.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.42%13.71%100.2768.1768.5264.1758.0361.0761.0648.8436.6233.57
YoY Growth--47.08%-0.51%6.79%10.57%-4.98%0.03%25.02%33.35%9.09%21.02%
Dividend Yield--4.03%2.35%3.26%2.69%2.62%3.14%2.92%2.23%1.41%3.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54,902.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25,625.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)29,277.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,980.406,862.754,117.65
Cash Retained (M)29,277.0029,277.0029,277.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,980.40-6,862.75-4,117.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,296.6022,414.2525,159.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)255.54255.54255.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.6087.7198.45
LTM Dividend per Share100.28100.28100.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.6087.7198.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend171.87187.99198.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate4.58%5.58%6.58%
Fair Value$10,503.71$27,903.22$42,363.00
Upside / Downside323.79%1,025.81%1,609.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54,902.0057,967.8561,204.9164,622.7368,231.4172,041.6074,202.85
Payout Ratio46.67%55.34%64.00%72.67%81.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25,625.0032,078.9839,173.8646,961.1055,495.8964,837.4468,637.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate4.58%5.58%6.58%
Year 1 PV (M)29,893.2130,179.0430,464.87
Year 2 PV (M)34,017.3434,670.9835,330.84
Year 3 PV (M)38,000.9339,101.4540,223.01
Year 4 PV (M)41,847.4443,471.0645,141.49
Year 5 PV (M)45,560.2347,780.4550,086.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,463,500.491,534,818.911,608,890.98
Equity Value (M)1,652,819.651,730,021.891,810,137.56
Shares Outstanding (M)255.54255.54255.54
Fair Value$6,467.84$6,769.95$7,083.46
Upside / Downside160.96%173.15%185.80%

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