Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. (603638.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.72 - $89.21$83.61
Multi-Stage$51.93 - $56.98$54.41
Blended Fair Value$69.01
Current Price$18.45
Upside274.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.17%43.85%0.230.130.140.150.100.080.060.060.000.04
YoY Growth--82.41%-8.12%-8.47%51.36%22.09%33.61%-6.09%1,772.28%-91.76%591.23%
Dividend Yield--1.02%0.77%0.76%0.63%0.23%0.47%0.59%0.82%0.05%1.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)379.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)140.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)239.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.9147.4528.47
Cash Retained (M)239.36239.36239.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.91-47.45-28.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)163.44191.91210.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)846.15846.15846.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate2.15%2.15%2.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$75.72$83.61$89.21
Upside / Downside310.41%353.15%383.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)379.57404.25430.52458.50488.31520.05535.65
Payout Ratio36.94%47.55%58.16%68.78%79.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)140.21192.23250.41315.34387.66468.04495.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.15%2.15%2.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)186.41188.17189.94
Year 2 PV (M)235.47239.96244.48
Year 3 PV (M)287.55295.81304.22
Year 4 PV (M)342.79355.97369.53
Year 5 PV (M)401.34420.72440.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,485.9744,538.0646,668.68
Equity Value (M)43,939.5246,038.6848,217.70
Shares Outstanding (M)846.15846.15846.15
Fair Value$51.93$54.41$56.98
Upside / Downside181.46%194.90%208.86%

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