Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Anjoy Foods Group Co., Ltd. (603345.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$478.33 - $912.78$855.41
Multi-Stage$142.99 - $156.51$149.62
Blended Fair Value$502.52
Current Price$70.51
Upside612.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS56.05%0.00%3.081.880.730.650.430.330.250.210.000.03
YoY Growth--63.41%159.48%12.22%51.40%28.47%33.81%19.51%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.86%2.16%0.44%0.59%0.20%0.39%0.58%0.77%0.00%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,386.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)579.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)807.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)277.40173.37104.02
Cash Retained (M)807.90807.90807.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-277.40-173.37-104.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)530.51634.53703.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)302.19302.19302.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.762.102.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.921.921.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.762.102.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.674.024.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$478.33$855.41$912.78
Upside / Downside578.39%1,113.18%1,194.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,386.981,477.131,573.141,675.401,784.301,900.281,957.29
Payout Ratio41.75%51.40%61.05%70.70%80.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)579.07759.25960.411,184.511,433.691,710.251,810.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)707.48714.19720.90
Year 2 PV (M)833.90849.79865.82
Year 3 PV (M)958.36985.871,013.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,080.871,122.431,165.19
Year 5 PV (M)1,201.451,259.481,319.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,426.8940,282.9342,210.00
Equity Value (M)43,208.9645,214.6947,295.53
Shares Outstanding (M)302.19302.19302.19
Fair Value$142.99$149.62$156.51
Upside / Downside102.79%112.20%121.97%

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