Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanghai Ace Investment & Development Co., Ltd. (603329.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.86 - $8.06$5.45
Multi-Stage$3.19 - $3.47$3.33
Blended Fair Value$4.39
Current Price$11.14
Upside-60.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.18%2.61%0.300.410.400.230.060.220.260.250.210.26
YoY Growth---25.79%2.41%75.17%291.54%-72.87%-15.94%1.93%22.58%-21.06%10.39%
Dividend Yield--2.93%3.95%3.41%2.28%0.62%2.58%1.90%1.04%1.76%2.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.184.492.69
Cash Retained (M)7.497.497.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.18-4.49-2.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.313.004.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)170.49170.49170.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.18%6.18%7.18%
Fair Value$3.86$5.45$8.06
Upside / Downside-65.35%-51.08%-27.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.8838.1040.4542.9545.6048.4249.87
Payout Ratio79.14%81.31%83.48%85.65%87.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.4030.9833.7736.7940.0543.5846.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.18%6.18%7.18%
Year 1 PV (M)27.9628.2228.49
Year 2 PV (M)27.5028.0328.56
Year 3 PV (M)27.0427.8228.61
Year 4 PV (M)26.5727.5928.65
Year 5 PV (M)26.0927.3528.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)408.31428.10448.64
Equity Value (M)543.47567.11591.61
Shares Outstanding (M)170.49170.49170.49
Fair Value$3.19$3.33$3.47
Upside / Downside-71.39%-70.14%-68.85%

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