Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Xiamen International Airport Co.,Ltd (600897.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.31 - $8.80$7.55
Multi-Stage$9.79 - $10.78$10.28
Blended Fair Value$8.91
Current Price$14.46
Upside-38.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-23.55%-2.10%0.260.060.100.120.370.990.740.720.270.33
YoY Growth--323.26%-39.86%-17.38%-66.91%-62.47%34.02%2.97%165.79%-19.25%4.57%
Dividend Yield--1.76%0.46%0.82%1.10%2.83%7.95%4.26%4.92%1.46%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)444.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)442.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.8455.5333.32
Cash Retained (M)442.18442.18442.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.84-55.53-33.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)353.34386.65408.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)419.56419.56419.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.840.920.97
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.840.920.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate-3.24%-2.24%-1.24%
Fair Value$6.31$7.55$8.80
Upside / Downside-56.38%-47.78%-39.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)444.21434.24424.50414.97405.66396.55408.45
Payout Ratio0.46%18.37%36.27%54.18%72.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.0379.76153.99224.85292.45356.90377.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate-3.24%-2.24%-1.24%
Year 1 PV (M)71.9372.6773.41
Year 2 PV (M)125.24127.84130.47
Year 3 PV (M)164.92170.09175.36
Year 4 PV (M)193.45201.57209.95
Year 5 PV (M)212.91224.15235.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,339.393,515.563,699.09
Equity Value (M)4,107.844,311.884,524.13
Shares Outstanding (M)419.56419.56419.56
Fair Value$9.79$10.28$10.78
Upside / Downside-32.29%-28.93%-25.43%

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