Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co.,Ltd. (600633.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.53 - $3.48$3.01
Multi-Stage$3.01 - $3.28$3.14
Blended Fair Value$3.07
Current Price$14.49
Upside-78.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.78%1.85%0.220.100.040.100.110.080.180.150.190.20
YoY Growth--126.97%152.84%-62.42%-9.36%37.03%-55.18%18.78%-18.29%-7.63%11.67%
Dividend Yield--1.63%0.85%0.31%1.25%1.48%0.80%1.72%1.12%0.95%1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)571.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)203.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)368.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)114.3271.4542.87
Cash Retained (M)368.47368.47368.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-114.32-71.45-42.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)254.15297.02325.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,280.461,280.461,280.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate13.95%13.95%13.95%
Growth Rate-0.15%0.85%1.85%
Fair Value$2.53$3.01$3.48
Upside / Downside-82.54%-79.24%-76.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)571.60576.47581.39586.35591.35596.40614.29
Payout Ratio35.54%46.43%57.32%68.21%79.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)203.13267.66333.27399.98467.80536.76568.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate13.95%13.95%13.95%
Growth Rate-0.15%0.85%1.85%
Year 1 PV (M)232.56234.89237.22
Year 2 PV (M)251.60256.67261.78
Year 3 PV (M)262.37270.34278.46
Year 4 PV (M)266.63277.47288.64
Year 5 PV (M)265.82279.40293.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,570.052,701.342,837.95
Equity Value (M)3,849.034,020.114,197.58
Shares Outstanding (M)1,280.461,280.461,280.46
Fair Value$3.01$3.14$3.28
Upside / Downside-79.25%-78.33%-77.38%

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