Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire Co., Ltd. (600577.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.62 - $56.10$52.58
Multi-Stage$31.62 - $34.70$33.13
Blended Fair Value$42.85
Current Price$10.40
Upside312.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.32%16.84%0.230.170.090.090.140.060.100.150.070.08
YoY Growth--33.44%91.83%1.06%-36.81%129.97%-37.22%-33.10%101.59%-4.06%55.34%
Dividend Yield--3.24%3.41%2.14%1.73%3.90%2.28%2.68%3.41%1.19%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)596.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)204.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)392.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.3574.5944.76
Cash Retained (M)392.57392.57392.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.35-74.59-44.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)273.22317.98347.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,115.322,115.322,115.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate2.81%2.81%2.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.62$52.58$56.10
Upside / Downside357.87%405.55%439.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)596.74635.53676.83720.83767.68817.58842.11
Payout Ratio34.21%45.37%56.53%67.69%78.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)204.17288.34382.60487.90605.26735.82778.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.81%2.81%2.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)277.82280.45283.08
Year 2 PV (M)355.18361.94368.77
Year 3 PV (M)436.39448.92461.68
Year 4 PV (M)521.61541.67562.30
Year 5 PV (M)610.97640.49671.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)64,678.4867,802.4871,046.04
Equity Value (M)66,880.4570,075.9473,393.00
Shares Outstanding (M)2,115.322,115.322,115.32
Fair Value$31.62$33.13$34.70
Upside / Downside204.01%218.54%233.61%

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