Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sanlien Technology Corp. (5493.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$308.70 - $855.02$801.28
Multi-Stage$121.43 - $132.79$127.01
Blended Fair Value$464.14
Current Price$79.40
Upside484.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.91%-5.41%2.482.672.951.882.531.771.622.032.231.42
YoY Growth---7.14%-9.68%57.11%-25.81%42.86%9.37%-20.00%-9.09%56.93%-67.09%
Dividend Yield--3.15%3.19%5.87%3.94%6.38%4.60%5.40%7.40%6.88%4.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)187.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)79.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.5723.4814.09
Cash Retained (M)79.6979.6979.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.57-23.48-14.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.1256.2165.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.7043.7043.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.961.291.50
LTM Dividend per Share2.482.482.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.961.291.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.443.763.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$308.70$801.28$855.02
Upside / Downside288.79%909.17%976.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)187.87200.09213.09226.94241.69257.40265.13
Payout Ratio57.58%64.07%70.55%77.03%83.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108.18128.19150.34174.82201.85231.66245.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)119.04120.17121.29
Year 2 PV (M)129.64132.11134.60
Year 3 PV (M)139.99144.01148.11
Year 4 PV (M)150.10155.88161.81
Year 5 PV (M)159.97167.70175.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,607.594,830.135,061.20
Equity Value (M)5,306.335,550.005,802.74
Shares Outstanding (M)43.7043.7043.70
Fair Value$121.43$127.01$132.79
Upside / Downside52.93%59.96%67.24%

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