Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Win Win Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (4949.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.81 - $25.35$20.84
Multi-Stage$34.31 - $37.70$35.97
Blended Fair Value$28.41
Current Price$39.05
Upside-27.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%2.182.060.140.200.340.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.60%1,417.44%-33.33%-40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.14%5.56%0.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)131.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.3616.479.88
Cash Retained (M)58.0758.0758.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.36-16.47-9.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.7141.6048.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.8466.8466.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.470.620.72
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.470.620.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.581.731.82
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$16.81$20.84$25.35
Upside / Downside-56.95%-46.63%-35.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)131.80130.48129.18127.88126.61125.34129.10
Payout Ratio55.94%62.75%69.56%76.38%83.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.7381.8889.8697.67105.32112.81119.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)75.6176.3877.15
Year 2 PV (M)76.6378.2079.79
Year 3 PV (M)76.9279.2981.72
Year 4 PV (M)76.5979.7683.04
Year 5 PV (M)75.7579.7083.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,911.432,010.962,114.60
Equity Value (M)2,292.932,404.302,520.10
Shares Outstanding (M)66.8466.8466.84
Fair Value$34.31$35.97$37.70
Upside / Downside-12.15%-7.88%-3.45%

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