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Definitive Analysis

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Far EasTone Telecommunications Co., Ltd. (4904.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.73 - $63.59$50.54
Multi-Stage$82.69 - $90.73$86.63
Blended Fair Value$68.59
Current Price$88.40
Upside-22.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.78%-0.41%3.282.972.962.962.973.413.413.413.423.42
YoY Growth--10.72%0.06%-0.04%-0.06%-13.14%0.19%-0.13%-0.17%-0.01%-0.10%
Dividend Yield--3.57%3.60%3.94%4.03%4.63%5.39%4.65%4.38%4.59%4.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,719.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,067.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)652.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,743.881,714.921,028.95
Cash Retained (M)652.19652.19652.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,743.88-1,714.92-1,028.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,091.69-1,062.74-376.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,598.813,598.813,598.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.58-0.30-0.10
LTM Dividend per Share3.633.633.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.58-0.30-0.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.053.343.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-0.94%0.06%1.06%
Fair Value$39.73$50.54$63.59
Upside / Downside-55.06%-42.83%-28.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,719.3813,727.2713,735.1713,743.0713,750.9813,758.8914,171.66
Payout Ratio95.25%94.20%93.15%92.10%91.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,067.1912,930.6812,794.0012,657.1612,520.1612,383.0013,108.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-0.94%0.06%1.06%
Year 1 PV (M)12,001.9412,123.1012,244.26
Year 2 PV (M)11,022.1511,245.8211,471.73
Year 3 PV (M)10,121.0710,430.7010,746.57
Year 4 PV (M)9,292.459,673.4010,065.95
Year 5 PV (M)8,530.538,969.909,427.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)246,634.57259,337.53272,558.59
Equity Value (M)297,602.71311,780.44326,514.28
Shares Outstanding (M)3,598.813,598.813,598.81
Fair Value$82.69$86.63$90.73
Upside / Downside-6.45%-2.00%2.63%

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