Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Uluru.Co.,Ltd. (3979.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$197.26 - $294.19$243.38
Multi-Stage$375.85 - $413.33$394.23
Blended Fair Value$318.80
Current Price$433.00
Upside-26.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%8.740.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)666.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)241.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)425.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)133.3683.3550.01
Cash Retained (M)425.78425.78425.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-133.36-83.35-50.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)292.43342.44375.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.6827.6827.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.5712.3713.58
LTM Dividend per Share8.718.718.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.5712.3713.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.2721.0822.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.57%7.57%7.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$197.26$243.38$294.19
Upside / Downside-54.44%-43.79%-32.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)666.78660.12653.51646.98640.51634.10653.13
Payout Ratio36.14%46.91%57.69%68.46%79.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)241.00309.69376.99442.91507.47570.69604.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.57%7.57%7.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)284.98287.89290.79
Year 2 PV (M)319.22325.77332.38
Year 3 PV (M)345.11355.78366.67
Year 4 PV (M)363.86378.94394.48
Year 5 PV (M)376.54396.14416.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,713.069,166.779,639.19
Equity Value (M)10,402.7610,911.2811,440.07
Shares Outstanding (M)27.6827.6827.68
Fair Value$375.85$394.23$413.33
Upside / Downside-13.20%-8.95%-4.54%

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