Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Magnum Berhad (3859.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.56 - $0.75$0.66
Multi-Stage$1.54 - $1.70$1.62
Blended Fair Value$1.14
Current Price$1.27
Upside-10.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.09%-9.90%0.070.060.050.020.070.170.150.100.130.17
YoY Growth--27.27%10.00%150.01%-73.14%-55.76%13.33%50.00%-25.93%-22.91%-12.63%
Dividend Yield--5.74%4.82%4.39%1.10%3.38%8.95%6.24%5.47%6.33%7.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)193.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)122.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)71.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.6624.1614.50
Cash Retained (M)71.1271.1271.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.66-24.16-14.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.4746.9656.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,437.181,437.181,437.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.12
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-9.98%-8.98%-7.98%
Fair Value$0.56$0.66$0.75
Upside / Downside-55.99%-48.35%-41.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)193.28175.92160.12145.74132.65120.74124.36
Payout Ratio63.20%68.56%73.92%79.28%84.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)122.16120.62118.37115.55112.28108.66115.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-9.98%-8.98%-7.98%
Year 1 PV (M)111.13112.36113.60
Year 2 PV (M)100.47102.72104.99
Year 3 PV (M)90.3693.4196.52
Year 4 PV (M)80.9084.5588.33
Year 5 PV (M)72.1376.2380.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,756.281,856.021,960.24
Equity Value (M)2,211.272,325.282,444.18
Shares Outstanding (M)1,437.181,437.181,437.18
Fair Value$1.54$1.62$1.70
Upside / Downside21.15%27.40%33.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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