Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cyber Com Co., Ltd. (3852.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,153.71 - $4,976.83$3,149.91
Multi-Stage$1,511.75 - $1,652.50$1,580.84
Blended Fair Value$2,365.38
Current Price$1,320.00
Upside79.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS9.03%12.88%19.9817.8917.0414.9012.9512.9710.938.636.995.95
YoY Growth--11.71%4.98%14.36%15.06%-0.16%18.71%26.69%23.38%17.42%0.04%
Dividend Yield--1.38%1.56%1.08%0.88%0.61%1.18%1.32%1.55%1.73%1.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)835.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)85.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)749.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)167.03104.3962.64
Cash Retained (M)749.36749.36749.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-167.03-104.39-62.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)582.33644.97686.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.028.028.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share72.6080.4185.62
LTM Dividend per Share10.6910.6910.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share72.6080.4185.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend83.3091.1196.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,153.71$3,149.91$4,976.83
Upside / Downside63.16%138.63%277.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)835.14889.42947.241,008.811,074.381,144.211,178.54
Payout Ratio10.27%26.22%42.16%58.11%74.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)85.78233.18399.38586.20795.621,029.791,090.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)210.80212.79214.79
Year 2 PV (M)326.38332.60338.88
Year 3 PV (M)433.07445.50458.17
Year 4 PV (M)531.36551.79572.81
Year 5 PV (M)621.73651.76682.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,001.9510,485.0510,986.64
Equity Value (M)12,125.2812,679.4913,254.22
Shares Outstanding (M)8.028.028.02
Fair Value$1,511.75$1,580.84$1,652.50
Upside / Downside14.53%19.76%25.19%

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