Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Internet Initiative Japan Inc. (3774.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,014.03 - $25,176.54$23,594.11
Multi-Stage$3,349.46 - $3,666.21$3,504.93
Blended Fair Value$13,549.52
Current Price$2,618.50
Upside417.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS38.19%19.76%34.5231.9827.5821.598.636.856.856.856.345.69
YoY Growth--7.95%15.94%27.76%150.20%25.98%0.02%0.01%8.07%11.38%0.01%
Dividend Yield--1.21%1.35%1.02%0.91%0.50%0.75%1.36%1.23%1.24%1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,492.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,192.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)16,300.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,498.402,811.501,686.90
Cash Retained (M)16,300.0016,300.0016,300.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,498.40-2,811.50-1,686.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,801.6013,488.5014,613.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)177.67177.67177.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share66.4275.9282.25
LTM Dividend per Share34.8534.8534.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share66.4275.9282.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend101.28110.77117.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8,014.03$23,594.11$25,176.54
Upside / Downside206.05%801.05%861.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,492.0023,953.9825,510.9927,169.2028,935.2030,815.9931,740.47
Payout Ratio27.53%40.02%52.52%65.01%77.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,192.009,587.3013,397.8317,663.2222,426.5027,734.3929,359.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8,889.828,974.089,058.34
Year 2 PV (M)11,519.3311,738.7411,960.23
Year 3 PV (M)14,081.8314,486.0714,897.98
Year 4 PV (M)16,578.5817,216.1517,871.93
Year 5 PV (M)19,010.8219,929.0520,882.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)525,014.99550,373.42576,702.36
Equity Value (M)595,095.39622,717.52651,373.26
Shares Outstanding (M)177.67177.67177.67
Fair Value$3,349.46$3,504.93$3,666.21
Upside / Downside27.92%33.85%40.01%

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