Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Urbanet Corporation Co.,Ltd. (3242.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,848.10 - $21,811.02$20,440.12
Multi-Stage$3,301.54 - $3,617.52$3,456.61
Blended Fair Value$11,948.37
Current Price$572.00
Upside1,988.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.42%9.98%20.6218.6816.7016.7315.7517.4311.9114.0913.3211.04
YoY Growth--10.38%11.88%-0.18%6.20%-9.64%46.37%-15.50%5.82%20.60%38.66%
Dividend Yield--3.60%4.88%4.23%5.58%5.03%6.41%2.90%4.03%3.80%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,704.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)360.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,344.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)740.97463.11277.86
Cash Retained (M)3,344.843,344.843,344.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-740.97-463.11-277.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,603.872,881.743,066.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.7833.7833.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.0885.3190.79
LTM Dividend per Share10.6610.6610.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.0885.3190.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend87.7495.96101.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10,848.10$20,440.12$21,811.02
Upside / Downside1,796.52%3,473.45%3,713.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,704.843,945.664,202.124,475.264,766.155,075.955,228.23
Payout Ratio9.72%25.77%41.83%57.89%73.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)360.001,016.941,757.762,590.593,524.264,568.364,836.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)947.21956.19965.17
Year 2 PV (M)1,524.981,554.021,583.34
Year 3 PV (M)2,093.412,153.502,214.74
Year 4 PV (M)2,652.622,754.642,859.56
Year 5 PV (M)3,202.733,357.423,518.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)101,108.72105,992.31111,062.80
Equity Value (M)111,529.66116,768.08122,203.64
Shares Outstanding (M)33.7833.7833.78
Fair Value$3,301.54$3,456.61$3,617.52
Upside / Downside477.19%504.30%532.43%

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