Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

gremz,Inc. (3150.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,402.76 - $10,884.98$6,584.51
Multi-Stage$3,017.33 - $3,299.34$3,155.77
Blended Fair Value$4,870.14
Current Price$2,374.00
Upside105.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS44.35%37.11%51.9631.8418.7116.7314.178.296.306.692.492.47
YoY Growth--63.20%70.16%11.84%18.06%70.93%31.67%-5.91%168.44%0.79%11.72%
Dividend Yield--2.19%1.26%0.63%1.12%0.74%0.56%0.67%0.70%1.01%1.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,606.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)369.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,237.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)921.34575.84345.50
Cash Retained (M)4,237.244,237.244,237.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-921.34-575.84-345.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,315.893,661.403,891.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.1123.1123.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share143.46158.41168.38
LTM Dividend per Share15.9915.9915.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share143.46158.41168.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend159.45174.40184.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,402.76$6,584.51$10,884.98
Upside / Downside85.46%177.36%358.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,606.724,906.155,225.055,564.685,926.396,311.606,500.95
Payout Ratio8.02%24.42%40.81%57.21%73.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)369.481,197.902,132.463,183.454,362.065,680.446,013.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,085.481,095.771,106.06
Year 2 PV (M)1,750.981,784.331,818.00
Year 3 PV (M)2,368.642,436.632,505.92
Year 4 PV (M)2,940.983,054.083,170.42
Year 5 PV (M)3,470.433,638.053,812.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)58,123.0960,930.4563,845.26
Equity Value (M)69,739.5972,939.3276,257.74
Shares Outstanding (M)23.1123.1123.11
Fair Value$3,017.33$3,155.77$3,299.34
Upside / Downside27.10%32.93%38.98%

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