Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Toyota Boshoku Corporation (3116.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,204.82 - $20,689.73$19,389.00
Multi-Stage$3,084.02 - $3,370.79$3,224.79
Blended Fair Value$11,306.90
Current Price$1,967.00
Upside474.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.05%16.49%84.9880.6969.2969.2837.2457.7058.5855.4936.9924.64
YoY Growth--5.32%16.46%0.01%86.03%-35.45%-1.50%5.57%50.01%50.09%33.49%
Dividend Yield--4.32%3.76%2.70%3.44%1.62%3.99%4.05%2.72%1.75%1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,825.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,357.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,468.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,765.002,353.131,411.88
Cash Retained (M)3,468.003,468.003,468.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,765.00-2,353.13-1,411.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)-297.001,114.882,056.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)180.65180.65180.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.646.1711.38
LTM Dividend per Share85.0185.0185.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.646.1711.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend83.3791.1896.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.32%6.32%7.32%
Fair Value$7,204.82$19,389.00$20,689.73
Upside / Downside266.28%885.71%951.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,825.0020,014.9321,280.0822,625.2024,055.3425,575.8826,343.16
Payout Ratio81.58%83.26%84.95%86.63%88.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,357.0016,664.8618,076.7119,600.4521,244.6023,018.3024,367.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.32%6.32%7.32%
Year 1 PV (M)15,494.8115,641.9315,789.05
Year 2 PV (M)15,627.4615,925.6316,226.61
Year 3 PV (M)15,755.0516,208.1016,669.75
Year 4 PV (M)15,877.6716,489.3417,118.50
Year 5 PV (M)15,995.4316,769.3617,572.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)478,375.91501,521.66525,554.76
Equity Value (M)557,126.34582,556.01608,931.63
Shares Outstanding (M)180.65180.65180.65
Fair Value$3,084.02$3,224.79$3,370.79
Upside / Downside56.79%63.94%71.37%

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