Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MH Robot & Automation Co., Ltd. (301199.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.24 - $7.41$6.31
Multi-Stage$7.70 - $8.46$8.07
Blended Fair Value$7.19
Current Price$27.42
Upside-73.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.060.070.000.000.000.000.010.040.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-12.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-82.55%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.27%0.38%0.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)104.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.5114.698.82
Cash Retained (M)104.21104.21104.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.51-14.69-8.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)80.7089.5295.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)146.68146.68146.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.610.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.610.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.24$6.31$7.41
Upside / Downside-80.91%-76.99%-72.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117.54116.37115.20114.05112.91111.78115.13
Payout Ratio11.34%27.08%42.81%58.54%74.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.3331.5149.3166.7683.86100.60106.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)28.3528.6428.93
Year 2 PV (M)39.9440.7641.58
Year 3 PV (M)48.6650.1651.70
Year 4 PV (M)55.0057.2859.63
Year 5 PV (M)59.3862.4765.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)897.98944.74993.43
Equity Value (M)1,129.301,184.051,240.96
Shares Outstanding (M)146.68146.68146.68
Fair Value$7.70$8.07$8.46
Upside / Downside-71.92%-70.56%-69.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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