Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hubei DOTI Micro Technology Co., Ltd. (301183.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.83 - $11.10$9.45
Multi-Stage$11.37 - $12.51$11.93
Blended Fair Value$10.69
Current Price$93.39
Upside-88.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-24.50%0.00%0.010.130.010.020.030.040.020.010.000.00
YoY Growth---92.96%1,943.07%-69.58%-30.58%-19.18%81.26%86.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.02%0.24%0.02%0.05%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.1311.967.18
Cash Retained (M)94.7794.7794.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.13-11.96-7.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.6382.8187.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.2180.2180.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.941.031.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.941.031.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.951.041.10
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.83$9.45$11.10
Upside / Downside-91.61%-89.88%-88.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.6794.7293.7792.8391.9090.9993.71
Payout Ratio0.95%18.76%36.57%54.38%72.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.9117.7734.2950.4866.3581.8986.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.0016.1616.32
Year 2 PV (M)27.8028.3728.95
Year 3 PV (M)36.8537.9939.16
Year 4 PV (M)43.6145.4247.28
Year 5 PV (M)48.4750.9953.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)739.59778.11818.21
Equity Value (M)912.32957.041,003.53
Shares Outstanding (M)80.2180.2180.21
Fair Value$11.37$11.93$12.51
Upside / Downside-87.82%-87.22%-86.60%

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