Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

DBG Technology Co., Ltd. (300735.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$71.70 - $84.48$79.17
Multi-Stage$52.16 - $57.23$54.65
Blended Fair Value$66.91
Current Price$29.22
Upside128.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.63%24.49%0.300.280.240.230.230.140.090.010.010.07
YoY Growth--8.84%14.68%7.46%0.91%59.43%50.42%1,108.03%12.89%-90.30%108.19%
Dividend Yield--1.10%0.91%2.11%2.08%1.90%0.73%0.65%0.06%0.09%0.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)325.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)210.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.1740.7324.44
Cash Retained (M)115.60115.60115.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.17-40.73-24.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.4274.8691.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)767.11767.11767.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate1.04%1.04%1.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$71.70$79.17$84.48
Upside / Downside145.39%170.94%189.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)325.85347.03369.59393.61419.20446.45459.84
Payout Ratio64.53%69.62%74.72%79.81%84.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)210.26241.61276.14314.14355.92401.80425.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.04%1.04%1.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)236.87239.11241.36
Year 2 PV (M)265.42270.47275.57
Year 3 PV (M)296.02304.52313.18
Year 4 PV (M)328.81341.46354.46
Year 5 PV (M)363.92381.50399.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,524.8840,385.6542,317.63
Equity Value (M)40,015.9241,922.7043,901.95
Shares Outstanding (M)767.11767.11767.11
Fair Value$52.16$54.65$57.23
Upside / Downside78.52%87.03%95.86%

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