Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Eoptolink Technology Inc., Ltd. (300502.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$141.94 - $301.02$201.49
Multi-Stage$101.73 - $111.22$106.39
Blended Fair Value$153.94
Current Price$365.77
Upside-57.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.89%0.00%0.110.060.060.100.040.030.030.030.000.00
YoY Growth--71.95%11.74%-42.18%130.77%49.88%-0.66%4.77%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.13%0.23%0.63%0.29%0.19%0.39%0.44%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,518.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)318.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,199.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,503.77939.85563.91
Cash Retained (M)7,199.877,199.877,199.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,503.77-939.85-563.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,696.106,260.026,635.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)993.57993.57993.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.736.306.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.736.306.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.056.627.00
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$141.94$201.49$301.02
Upside / Downside-61.19%-44.91%-17.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,518.838,007.568,528.059,082.379,672.7310,301.4510,610.50
Payout Ratio4.24%21.39%38.55%55.70%72.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)318.961,713.123,287.165,058.607,046.439,271.319,814.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,542.761,557.381,572.00
Year 2 PV (M)2,665.892,716.672,767.93
Year 3 PV (M)3,694.563,800.623,908.68
Year 4 PV (M)4,634.604,812.844,996.16
Year 5 PV (M)5,491.555,756.806,032.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)83,050.8287,062.2091,227.11
Equity Value (M)101,080.18105,706.51110,504.09
Shares Outstanding (M)993.57993.57993.57
Fair Value$101.73$106.39$111.22
Upside / Downside-72.19%-70.91%-69.59%

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