Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fuxin Dare Automotive Parts Co., Ltd. (300473.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.39 - $8.25$6.72
Multi-Stage$6.73 - $7.37$7.04
Blended Fair Value$6.88
Current Price$31.26
Upside-77.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.63%5.62%0.460.310.480.540.490.691.060.700.660.25
YoY Growth--48.81%-35.02%-11.82%9.75%-28.16%-34.95%51.16%5.63%169.12%-8.12%
Dividend Yield--1.63%1.85%2.67%2.94%2.92%2.94%2.74%1.74%1.06%0.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5010.946.56
Cash Retained (M)64.7564.7564.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.50-10.94-6.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.2553.8258.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.95150.95150.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.360.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.360.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate1.17%2.17%3.17%
Fair Value$5.39$6.72$8.25
Upside / Downside-82.77%-78.49%-73.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.5189.4191.3593.3495.3797.44100.36
Payout Ratio26.00%38.80%51.60%64.40%77.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.7634.7047.1460.1173.6287.6992.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate1.17%2.17%3.17%
Year 1 PV (M)31.2731.5831.88
Year 2 PV (M)38.2839.0439.81
Year 3 PV (M)43.9945.3146.65
Year 4 PV (M)48.5550.5052.51
Year 5 PV (M)52.1254.7557.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)801.78842.19884.22
Equity Value (M)1,015.991,063.371,112.56
Shares Outstanding (M)150.95150.95150.95
Fair Value$6.73$7.04$7.37
Upside / Downside-78.47%-77.46%-76.42%

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