Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Global Infotech Co., Ltd. (300465.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.24 - $0.31$0.28
Multi-Stage$0.45 - $0.50$0.48
Blended Fair Value$0.38
Current Price$23.41
Upside-98.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.48%2.88%0.030.040.030.040.090.100.050.030.020.01
YoY Growth---16.49%12.41%-12.59%-60.17%-8.65%99.94%90.40%61.25%68.32%-56.93%
Dividend Yield--0.19%0.41%0.29%0.26%0.86%0.88%0.48%0.24%0.11%0.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.733.582.15
Cash Retained (M)20.0620.0620.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.73-3.58-2.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.3316.4817.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)444.97444.97444.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate-9.73%-8.73%-7.73%
Fair Value$0.24$0.28$0.31
Upside / Downside-98.98%-98.81%-98.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28.6626.1623.8721.7919.8918.1518.69
Payout Ratio30.02%42.02%54.01%66.01%78.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.6010.9912.9014.3815.5116.3317.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate-9.73%-8.73%-7.73%
Year 1 PV (M)9.9010.0110.12
Year 2 PV (M)10.4710.7010.93
Year 3 PV (M)10.5210.8711.23
Year 4 PV (M)10.2210.6811.15
Year 5 PV (M)9.6910.2410.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)151.20159.77168.71
Equity Value (M)202.00212.26222.97
Shares Outstanding (M)444.97444.97444.97
Fair Value$0.45$0.48$0.50
Upside / Downside-98.06%-97.96%-97.86%

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