Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

East Group Co.,Ltd (300376.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.16 - $0.21$0.18
Multi-Stage$0.30 - $0.33$0.31
Blended Fair Value$0.25
Current Price$5.19
Upside-95.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.88%18.11%0.080.070.090.030.150.150.110.070.050.01
YoY Growth--18.61%-24.79%182.47%-79.09%-4.75%44.11%63.83%34.92%232.29%-0.54%
Dividend Yield--2.28%1.06%1.11%0.39%2.28%2.86%1.83%0.89%0.33%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)77.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.499.685.81
Cash Retained (M)41.3841.3841.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.49-9.68-5.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.8931.7035.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,265.512,265.512,265.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate-6.71%-5.71%-4.71%
Fair Value$0.16$0.18$0.21
Upside / Downside-96.98%-96.44%-95.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)77.4573.0368.8764.9461.2357.7459.47
Payout Ratio46.57%55.26%63.94%72.63%81.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.0740.3644.0447.1649.7951.9655.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate-6.71%-5.71%-4.71%
Year 1 PV (M)36.4436.8337.22
Year 2 PV (M)35.9136.6837.46
Year 3 PV (M)34.7335.8637.01
Year 4 PV (M)33.1134.5536.04
Year 5 PV (M)31.2032.9134.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)503.06530.60559.34
Equity Value (M)674.44707.43741.77
Shares Outstanding (M)2,265.512,265.512,265.51
Fair Value$0.30$0.31$0.33
Upside / Downside-94.26%-93.98%-93.69%

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