Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Huizhong Instrumentation Co., Ltd. (300371.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.91 - $71.78$67.26
Multi-Stage$47.42 - $52.11$49.72
Blended Fair Value$58.49
Current Price$11.60
Upside404.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.05%11.53%0.160.080.230.190.170.120.090.050.100.07
YoY Growth--91.81%-64.07%21.56%14.97%39.29%36.35%62.81%-47.06%51.79%24.44%
Dividend Yield--1.54%0.82%1.99%1.58%1.55%1.20%0.93%0.48%0.65%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.609.135.48
Cash Retained (M)54.9354.9354.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.60-9.13-5.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.3245.8049.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)199.58199.58199.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate-1.57%-1.57%-1.57%
Growth Rate4.05%5.05%6.05%
Fair Value$60.91$67.26$71.78
Upside / Downside425.05%479.79%518.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.0176.7080.5884.6588.9293.4296.22
Payout Ratio24.77%37.82%50.86%63.91%76.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.0929.0140.9854.1068.4384.0889.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.57%-1.57%-1.57%
Growth Rate4.05%5.05%6.05%
Year 1 PV (M)29.1929.4729.75
Year 2 PV (M)41.5042.3043.11
Year 3 PV (M)55.1256.7258.36
Year 4 PV (M)70.1672.8975.71
Year 5 PV (M)86.7390.9895.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,181.609,631.3610,098.58
Equity Value (M)9,464.299,923.7210,400.89
Shares Outstanding (M)199.58199.58199.58
Fair Value$47.42$49.72$52.11
Upside / Downside308.81%328.65%349.26%

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